Experts predict radical reconfiguration of parliament after snap elections

The results of the election will depend on the new electoral law, experts say

If snap parliamentary elections are held in the fall, the composition of the Verkhovna Rada will change dramatically. This according to Maria Zolkina, a political analyst from the Ilko Kucheriv Democratic Initiatives Foundation. She spoke during the online video conference between Lviv and Dnipropetrovsk “Ukraine After Round One of the Presidential Elections: Analysis of Results and Forecasts” that was held with support from the International Renaissance Foundation’s European Program Initiative and the Ukrinform information agency.

According to Maria Zolkina, exit polls suggest that Oleh Liashko and Anatoliy Hrytsenko’s parties have a chance of making it into parliament in early elections and that the communists will not make it into the new Rada.

Iryna Shvets, а member of the Coordinating Council of the Opora Civic Network, added that intrigue lies in which political party will represent the newly elected President, Petro Poroshenko, in the future parliamentary elections and whether he will continue his affiliation with UDAR. “It is still not clear whether Batkivshchyna can be revived after the fall in voter support. And another critical question is who will now represent the interests of the East,” she said.

Nazar Boyko, Director of the Cifra Monitoring and Analysis Group, agreed that the Verkhovna Rada will change completely following new elections, but said the results will depend on the new electoral law, specifically whether political blocs will be allowed. The result will also be impacted by whether the situation in the East can be stabilized and elections there held. “These four million votes will certainly affect the distribution of electoral support and the configuration of the future parliament,” he added.

Ilko Kucheriv Democratic Initiatives Foundation
(+380 44) 581 33 17

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